Ufc Fight Odds 246
- The UFC 246 main event between McGregor and Cerrone has the second widest odds on the entire UFC 246 card. In fact, the only fight with a more lopsided line is the prelim headliner between Maycee Barber, the UFC’s new it girl, and quirky veteran Roxanne Modafferi. Barber, nicknamed “The Future,” is booming these days.
- UFC fighter: Woman slugged me in street fight over a penny Conor McGregor is back in the octagon for the first time since 2018, but his UFC 246 comeback won’t be a cakewalk.
- UFC 246 fight card, odds: Breaking down every bout from the PPV opener to the main event Get a complete breakdown of the card for UFC 246 from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.
Depending on the MMA betting site, Nasrat comes into this fight as either the 2 nd or 3 rd biggest betting favorite on the entire UFC 246 card. After losing his UFC debut in October 2017, Nasrat has won three straight fights including his last bout via KO over Silva in August 2019.
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Gotta throw some money down on Conor McGregor at UFC 246, right? It’ll make the fights that much better, bettor.
Gambling is just sort of embedded in combat sports culture, so if you know the deal from here, head straight for the local sportsbook or a favorite gaming site. But for those who still need a little depth and perspective on how to bet on the UFC 246 fights, take a gander below for some insight on “The Notorious” Conor McGregor vs. Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone odds.
Understanding MMA Betting
Don’t feel like an absolute idiot if you don’t know how fight odds are handicapped, that’s someone else’s job. But to make money betting on fights, you’re hoping to really pick an underdog with some favorable odds. Or you can parlay bets, where you select a sequence of fights, only to cash out if every result goes your way.
Now take the UFC 246 PPV main card (which airs on ESPN+), starting with the main event. Favorite Conor McGregor is listed at -320, while “Cowboy” Cerrone is a +260 underdog. The odds on McGregor aren’t really that awesome, right? You’d need to lay down $320-dollars in order to make a hundred bucks. The payout isn’t that great, and this is a comeback fight after all.
There’s little doubt that more bets will be placed on McGregor than anyone else on the card. He’s the most famous dude out there, calling it like it’s a sure thing. However, Cerrone is an interesting play because a bet of $100-dollars wins you $260. Nice little cashout, but only go there if you’re hardcore on the “Cowboy” bandwagon and think he’s gonna win the fight. No sense in just throwing money away.
TheUFC 246 main event between McGregor and Cerrone has the second widest odds on the entire UFC 246 card. In fact, the only fight with a more lopsided line is the prelim headliner between Maycee Barber, the UFC’s new it girl, and quirky veteran Roxanne Modafferi.
Barber, nicknamed “The Future,” is booming these days. She’s quite the hot commodity, slotted into that prelim headliner on ESPN spot that the UFC usually reserves for developing young stars (think Cody Garbrandt at UFC 202). But at -800, there’s no reason to wager that cash. And even at +500, Modafferi isn’t necessarily the best play. Well, the odds are great and you stand to win a lot betting on the underdog. But Barber is destined for greatness, and this is not a fight she will lose.
Is This All Starting to Make More Sense
Outside of McGregor vs. Cerrone and Barber vs. Modafferi, the only other fights with juicy odds are the PPV opener between Anthony “Showtime” Pettis and Diego Ferreira. Wait. Surely, I’m reading this wrong. Ferreira is a -240 favorite of over Pettis, a former champion, at +200? Now, this is a bet I’d look into.
A winner of five straight, Ferreira is technically the hottest fighter on the UFC 246 PPV card. Not to mention that he trains at Fortis MMA in Dallas, a fight team that is coming off of an impressive 2019 campaign. However, Pettis tends to trade wins and losses, and Ferreira is the kind of fight he usually wins.
Not knocking Ferreira here, but Pettis looks like a good play here. He’s fought on the biggest cards in UFC history, even main eventing a few PPV cards. He knows that stakes, and a loss to an unranked guy like Ferreira just doesn’t sound right.
Another good play, this time on the ESPN prelims, is a lightweight bout between Nasrat Haqparast and Drew Dober. With Haqparast listed as a -280 favorite, and Dober a +240 dog, this bout feels prime for an upset.
Early today at the official UFC 246 weigh ins, Haqparast didn’t look particularly good, needing the black hoop of shame to make weight in the buff. Dober, on the other hand, looked better than he has in a while, and he’s known to retain serious power at lightweight, even after some tough weight cuts.
Putting Together a Parlay
When it comes to bouts with much narrower odds, it’s fun to put together a parlay sequence. It kind of makes your money work for you in some sense.
Consider the UFC 246 co-main event …
The UFC 246 co-main event between Holly Holm and Raquel Pennington is a reasonably close fight according to the books, with Holm listed as the -130 favorite, and Pennington very much a live dog at +110. It’s not a huge payout of course (if you put down, a c-note and she wins, you walk away with one ten), but what about tossing Pennington into a parlay? How can you let it ride and turn that fight into a little more cash?
Well, tack it on to a fight or two, like say picking a Pettis-Oleinik-Pennington parlay. To let you understand how it all works, if you would put down $100 on Pettis at +200 and he wins at UFC 246, all of your cash (which is now $300 because you won $200 on Pettis, which is now tacked on to your principle $100) then gets forwarded on to the next fighter, which is Aleksei Oleinik, who is a +105 underdog against Maurice Green.
Oleinik has the experience and skills to tap Green out, and suddenly that $300 becomes $615, which is parlayed on to Pennington. Now, rather than just putting $100 on Pennington to win $110, you’re in a position to walk away with more than $1260 for the same money down. Of course a number of things have to go right.
Prop Betting
Prop bets are random bets. They’re specific bets. Nuanced bets. Absurd bets. They’re not as straightforward as who wins and who loses. People are betting on the national anthem and who will land the first punch. Who will carry a national flag. How many times Conor will drop an F bomb, and will “Cowboy” drink Budweiser in his corner. There’s even a bet on Bruce Buffer’s fighter intros, so you can really understand how degenerative a gambling addiction can truly be.
Prop bets aren’t really my thing, to be honest with you, but some people are really into them.
Take a look at these prop bets below.
Some interesting prop bets for McGregor vs. Cowboy were just released by @betonline_agpic.twitter.com/VhrVGJKcnt
— Aaron Bronsteter (@aaronbronsteter) January 17, 2020
Well, I hope this has been beneficial and education.
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cerrone goes down on Saturday, January 18. The UFC 246 PPV main card on ESPN+ begins at 7 p.m. PST / 10 p.m. EST.
UFC 246 PPV main card (ESPN+)
- Conor McGregor vs. Donald Cerrone
- Holly Holm vs. Raquel Pennington
- Aleksei Oleinik vs. Maurice Green
- Anthony Pettis vs. Diego Ferreira
UFC 246 Preliminaries (ESPN 2) 5 p.m. PST / 8 p.m. EST
- Maycee Barber vs. Roxanne Modafferi
- Andre Fili vs. Sodiq Yusuff
- Tim Elliott vs. Askar Askarov
- Drew Dober vs. Nasrat Haqparast
UFC 246 Early Prelims (UFC Fight Pass) 3:15 p.m. PST / 6:15 p.m. EST
- Justn Ledet vs. Aleksa Camur
- Brian Kelleher vs. Ode Osbourne
- Sabina Mazo vs. J.J. Aldrich
*Fight Card Subject to Change
Dan Shapiro is a writer, editor, musician, and producer currently based in Los Angeles. In addition to covering some of the biggest fights in combat sports history, he’s also hunted down the world’s best sushi, skied the northern hemisphere in July, and chronicled Chinese underground music for publications like CNN, the New York Daily News, VICE, and Time Out. Dan also conjured up a ghost at the Chateau Marmont while out on assignment for RoadTrippers. Follow him on Twitter here.
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This weekend’s UFC 246 is a strong bookmaking and betting match. Both the moneyline and prop menu offer different incentives to each side.
The return of Conor “Notorious’ McGregor from a 15-month layoff to battle Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is more than a battle of high-profile performers, ranked number four and five in the lightweight division.
There are enough questions regarding each fighter — McGregor’s layoff and Cerrone’s history of taxing bouts — to open significant betting variables. Does McGregor, who claims he will make $80 million on this fight because of incentives, still have the hunger? He lost his last bout and has lucrative businesses outside of UFC. Cerrone lost his last two fights but has battled five times during McGregor’s layoff.
To commemorate their scheduled five-round bout, here are five of the best ways to bet UFC 246. This outlook represents methods and strategy, even more than particular wagers, because there are hundreds of props at major betting operators like DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM and PointsBet.
The gambling approach to The McGregor vs. Cowboy Fight
Round One: Forget the moneyline for McGregor backers. He is laying in the vicinity of +300 (3-to-1) at the books. Wagering $300 to win $100? Not sexy. There are fertile opportunities for him in the prop field.
Round Two: Absolutely play the win line if you like Cerrone, at returns averaging roughly +250. Props are fine to supplement, but this is like taking the win line at the Kentucky Derby on a 5-2 pick. If you like this, hit the win-line hard and place less on the props (which would resemble the exactas and trifectas of the horse-racing world). Nothing frustrates a bettor more than having the right selection, but betting it incorrectly.
Round Three: Narrow the focus. Books have an enticing prop menu. But you can’t get lost in them, diverting the bankroll. There are numerous victory and method props, over/under and knockout rounds, even the unlikely draw. But they can overlap. Know where you have aimed the money.
Ufc Fight Odds 257
Round Four: Determine your operation. A safe build-out can start from picking two-round group packages for when the bout ends. A rounds bet or method prop can be added. Or do you want to go for a slam, betting one prop heavy in search of the big score? Know how much of the landscape you want to travel.
Round Five: The accent piece. Seek a strange angle and place a small bet. McGregor has only lost twice in the UFC. But both times were by submission. Including his last fight. There are long odds on a submission finish in this fight because both fighters are excellent strikers. That’s why the submission prop pays well.
Honorable Mention: Holly Holm and Raquel Pennington fight on the undercard in a rematch of a previous split decision victory by Holm. The books back a long battle, probably a decision. Any fighter on the moneyline at DraftKings (at -137 for Holm, + 110 for Pennington) is not a bad play. Odds of a knockout are in the range of +1000 (10-to-1) on both sides.
Odds on UFC 246
DraftKings Sportsbook
The Line: McGregor -315, Cerrone +250
The over-under for the fight is 1.5 rounds, which is also reflected in the range-of-finish props. Bettors lay +150 if the fight ends inside of two rounds. The payout is +375 for rounds 3-4 and a draw is +5000.
Extending to individual fighters, McGregor’s winning rounds range from +175 in round one to +2500 in the fifth. Cerrone also pays 25-1 in round 5 but would return 11-1 for a first-round victory. Translation: McGregor will try to and win early and if Cerrone turns the tables, it will pay handsomely.
Ufc 246 Fight Odds
A McGregor win inside of two rounds is -115 but a KO in round two pays +650. Victory for him in the round 3-4 package is worth +650, but Round 3 is +1500 and Round 4 is +1900.
For Cerrone backers, individual rounds knockouts return from 22-1-50-1 from rounds 1-5. Submissions return 22-1 to 40-1, depending upon the round.
FanDuel Sportsbook
The line: McGregor -290, Cerrone +220
The prop line suggests an early McGregor knockout, at -210.
McGregor on points is +1000 and a submission is +3200. Cerrone returns +700 for a knockout, +950 for a decision and +700 for a submission.
Ufc Fight Odds 246 Ufc
McGregor’s range of knockout victories returns +175 for Round 1 up to +2900 for Round 5. Cerrone’s payouts are +2400 for the opening round and +5500 for a stoppage in Round 5. Cerrone also pays +5500 for a submission triumph in Round 5.
Will the fight go the distance? Yes is +440 and the bettor would not have to sweat out who wins.
BetMGM
The line: McGregor -334, Cerrone +260
McGregor’s victory spectrum ranges from +170 in Round 1 to +2200 in the fifth.
Cerrone has a similar payout, +2500, for a round-five win. The major difference between them is early, where Cerrone would return +1100 for a first-round victory.
This is a unique menu because it offers half-rounds. The over-under hits the even-money area at 1.5 rounds. That would pay +100 for the over and -121 for the under.
As the rounds progress, the expected stoppage changes the numbers to over 2.5 rounds at +187 and under at -250. Want to try 3.5 rounds? That’s +240 for the over and -358 for the under. Over 4.5 rounds and a full fight exceed +400 on the over and -500 and -589 on the under. Translation: the appeal for the under dies after the first round.
Ufc 246 Fight Card Odds
PointsBet
The line: McGregor -286, Cerrone +230
Some sweet spots for McGregor are specific round props. McGregor knockout victories in Round 3 (+ 750) and Round 4 (+1200) provide a 10-minute window for McGregor to provide a good return. Putting money on EACH of the rounds and taking a smaller payout is a reasonable way to go for anyone believing in a mid-rounds stoppage for McGregor.
Cerrone backers would receive +750 for a knockout win, +500 for a submission and +950 for a points verdict. Cowboy bettors would score a boatload, +8000, should Cerrone submit McGregor during the fifth round.
This article was originally posted Tuesday. Odds are subject to change. For current odds, click the sportsbook links above.